Tuesday, August 20, 2019

#57.19: Perspective - The Valun and THEIR money

I review many charts each and every business day.  But I always watch this chart.
We have recently seen the precious metals surge in prices measured in US dollars. These are the two principal brands of THEIR money. The experiment we have conducted since 2011 has given us the vehicle to comprehend the shifts in purchasing power of these two principal brands of THEIR money.

The Valun began at $2.16 or 1,000 Valuns for an ounce of gold bullion, on the date of the Valun's inception, 11/2/2011. Since then, the price of gold has fallen, so an ounce of gold bullion no longer buys what it did back on 11/2/2011. This has been reflected in the value of a Valun measured in US dollars; the Valun has almost always been well above its inception, at its peak, reaching $3.00 on 12/02/2015. 

As we have always said, the Valun is offered as an international standard unit of value measurement in a trade for goods and service, a substitute to whole barter, while barter never goes away. The Valun is never a commodity masquerading as money, that changes its ability to measure value in a trade, based on the whims of speculators and other insiders. These people are those engaged in making money on THEIR money without work; without contributing to the store of wealth, which must provide an income for its producers. The Valun remains as an unchanging unit of purchasing power, devised to represent an unchanging point of reference.

Critics, of whom most wouldn't know an honest argument if posed to them, because half of them have enormous chips on their shoulders to begin with, that prevent them from having any honest discussion about anything concrete or relevant, will say that this contention, that the Valun remains unchanged, is not so. They will contend that the proposal intends on changing this fixed unit as soon as the price of gold rises above Valun inception.

So to anyone, the exception is when the price of gold marches up above the original Valun inception. Then, we would see a new inception point for the Valun, always higher, never lower, and that's the key. What happens should gold bullion no longer be sold for US dollars? We consider this possibility highly unlikely, whether there's a Federal Reserve bank or not, whether the US Treasury, unconstitutionally by the way, decides to issue what they'll call US Government Notes or US Treasury Notes, or whatever. We'll still see gold sold for these as it is for FRNs today.

What if there are a string of new highs for gold in quick succession? We'll just post the inception point for the Valun as many times as required to represent the highest point in THEIR valuations of dollars and precious metals. 

Example: The price of gold reaches $2,200. That's our bid, not THEIR spot, which is always 25% lower. That's our bid price, which means we have adequate advantage and may be buying more gold than we need to cover the exchanges into Valuns. At $2,200, the Valun's new inception is at $2.20 rather than $2.16. But the next week, gold reaches $2,560. The Valun's new inception point becomes $2.56. Now what's the price of gold actually going to do? None of us knows. Why? Because none of us controls any of that. Let's say that you have decided to purchase stock in gold mines, or silver mines. Does your stock ownership affect anything concerning those mines? Who determines what those shares are worth day in and day out? Do you? Does anyone have anything to do with any of the mints, public or private, unless they actually work for any of them, and even then? The most basic question: do you actually OWN any of the money you use? 

So anyway, does the price of gold just go up and up forever? Not unless the purchasing power of US dollars is running downhill into a Weimar meltdown as we have already seen in places like Zimbabwe and Venezuela. What could happen to the Valun, if that begins happening here? The Valun just gets harder and harder as a result, and we have no intention whatsoever of devaluing the Valun, once a new inception point is chosen.

So, if gold reaches our bid for it of $3,800, the Valun is now $3.80. As the price of gold falls back from this point, as it would, else the US dollar is toast, the Valun gets even heavier, because it would take more gold to buy one. Right now it takes more gold to buy a Valun than at its inception. Most of the time, no, ALL of the time, we want it that way. Even so, the Valun would never do what is common in typical “buy and hold” fake scarce commodity cryptocurrencies, where one sees runs into the thousands of dollars and gigantic price plunges soon afterward. I remind you all that commodities speculators make money both ways, whether the price changes are higher or lower.

There is always a range, the reverse almost of the one chart seen at the head of this post. Gold will never be worthless, so the upward limit to the Valun in US dollars would always be far smaller. At $3.00 back in 2015, gold was selling at just above $1,000. How much lower would gold have to go for the Valun to reach $4.00? At our bid price of $260 an ounce for gold, how likely is that?, the Valun reaches $4.00. So the Valun trading range is always only a matter of a few dollars.

It's more likely that precious metals would behave exactly as they have for as long as people want to examine the charts. In the chart at the top of this post, you see a volcanic looking formation centered around 2011. We chose our Valun inception to be among those peaks. Following this, we've seen gold fall back in price, where it tried to find its bottom and normal trading range. Usually a kind of plateau of trading prices for precious metals is established which lasts for some years. Since all of this activity usually occurs far below the occasional volcanic price surge formations, the Valun maintains its comparative price advantage throughout these often multi-year plateaus in precious metals prices.

As this blog has continued over the years, we have received many suggestions for altering our basis for the Valun. No matter what we could have chosen, prices in any commodity possibly chosen are still affected by THEM through THEIR speculators and without the clear fundamentals that basing our exchange on the price of gold would offer us, to easily determine what the exchange rates for all the rest of THEIR money would trade for in Valuns. We have and will continue to steadfastly ignore any other possible bases for the Valun. Those reading this blog ought to know exactly why gold was chosen from the outset; it is THEIR oldest brand of THEIR money and allows us to defeat that basis for value as well as any of the other of THEIR STOLEN fiat currencies. As we have stated many other times, there is no substitute.

We certainly want anyone to know that when the Valun system gets going, a Valun will never be worthless, nor subject to any more speculation than already exists with all of THEIR money, yes, including THEIR cryptocurrencies, which we consider more than worthless. We will NEVER need to, nor ever will accept any cryptocurrencies in trade for Valuns. We remind everyone that E. C. Riegel observed that all of THEIR money was illegitimate because it was issued by non producers. What backs a Valun? The work or will of the members, nothing more is required. 

Best 
David Burton 

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