VIII
HOW
THE UNIT IS TO BE DETERMINED
THE
METHOD OF FIXING AND STABILIZING
A
money unit that is not sponsored and controlled by a political
government naturally has no political boundaries; and is in its
nature a potentially universal unit. The valun, being a non-political
private enterprise money unit, is boundless in the scope of its
operation; and, if successfully launched in any locality, may and
should spread to all parts of the world.
There
is, of course, nothing to preclude any organizations of private
enterprisers from adopting valun principles and setting up units by
other names, but, if this should prove to be the case, they will be
as foreign to each other as are the present political units, of which
there are some sixty. The probable evolution, however will be an
extension of the valun - because, if it demonstrates its success,
there will be no need to imitate it - since participation in the
valun system will be open to all. An universal monetary language is
advantageous to all; and therefore to set up another language is to
defeat the purpose of trade, which by nature is interdependent and
unionist.
Thus
we may approach the problem of determining and defining the valun in
the consciousness that we are creating an implement of world trade as
well as one to serve the members of the initial Exchange that may be
organized. A review of the present polyglot money units of the world
may help us in gaining this universal consciousness. All the money
units of the world rate numerically lower than the dollar except the
English pound which is higher.
To
comprehend the meaning of the varying positions of money units in the
scale, it will be helpful to refer back to the catalogue of value
relatives in Study No. 5. In this example we took the sheep as the
unit, thus making it the figure one and other commodities were set in
mathematical relativity thereto. Thus the horse, for instance, became
5 because it was presumed to be five times as valuable as a sheep or
as valuable as five sheep. Had we taken the horse as the unit, it
would have become the figure 1 and the same value relationship would
have made the sheep .20 or one fifth of a unit. Had the candle been
taken as the unit, the sheep would have been rated 100 units and the
horse 500 units. Thus we see that rating a unit numerically higher or
lower does not indicate its standing in the scale of creditability.
What
does indicate the standing of money units, in the scale of
creditability, is the record they maintain in holding their initial
position in the numerical scale. For instance, the English pound,
before it began to decline, was rated at 4.86 to the American dollar.
It is now officially quoted at 4.03; and, if the American cooperation
in artificially bolstering it were withdrawn, it might fall as low as
two or lower. That it was set originally at nearly five times the
numerical level of the dollar reflected neither credit to it nor
discredit upon the dollar, but that it has fallen below that level
indicates discredit to it.
MONETARY
ISOLATION
Political
money units are artificial isolationist criteria, whereas trade is by
nature unionist. Therefore trade, that should have no boundaries or
difference in language, is made polyglot. It becomes necessary
therefore, in international trade, to translate one political unit
into another. This is called foreign exchange.
Here
another sphere of relativity is created in which, as in all
relativity, there is necessarily a positive pole - or the figure one.
The premier unit among money units, or the figure 1, is determined by
the criterion of stability among those nations having the largest
foreign trade. The unit that varies the least in its power in
internal trade becomes the world standard. The world standard, since
the English pound surrendered its leadership, is the American dollar
- which has been standard during the present century.
It
happens that prior to 1934 the U. S. government committed itself to
give $20.67 for an ounce of gold, and since then has been committed
to pay $35. per ounce, but the fact of the original commitment had no
affect upon the international rating of the dollar, nor was it
changed by raising the price of gold. It meant merely that the
equivalent of the dollar could be expressed in a weight of gold. The
dollar is and has been for nearly a half century the international
money standard regardless of the policy of the U. S. government in
pegging the price of gold. Therefore all foreign exchange is dollar
exchange, however some minds may be confused because of the gold
pricing. As the dollar declines the purchasing power of gold declines
- showing that the dollar, and not the gold, is the controlling
factor. Gold does not exert its purchasing power directly upon other
commodities, but vicariously through its patron, the dollar.
Therefore dollar decline means gold decline. This tandem decline will
continue until $35 per ounce will be (due to the depreciation of the
dollar) an insufficient price
for gold. Gold and the dollar will then part company and gold will trade
on its actual value like all other commodities.
As
all political units are foreign to each other so the valun will be
foreign to all, including the dollar. In due course, if the valun
demonstrates the greatest stability, it will wrest leadership from
the dollar, and become the international money criterion. If and when
that point is attained it will signify the doom of the political
money system, and the approaching end of all national or political
monies; and the world will then be united on the economic plane,
regardless of its political divisions.
As
stated in Study 5, any commodity or unit of value may be adopted as
the money unit. However in the presence of existing money units it is
expedient to make a new unit either par with or a fraction or
multiple of, some existing money unit. Obviously - because the valun
is to begin in the United States, and because the dollar is also the
international standard - it is advisable to base the valun on the
dollar. As is explained in Study 5, this implies only the key note or
the starting point; and thereafter the two units become separate
entities. It does not, should not and cannot imply any fixity of
relationships. But if we wish to start the valun par with the dollar
we must identify the dollar by date; because here has been wide
variation in the power of the dollar during its lifetime. The
following table, made up by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York,
shows the price level, which conversely shows the increase or decline
in the power of the dollar
from
1913 to 1939.
YEARLY
AVERAGE 1913 – 100
1013
100
|
1918
162
|
1923
169
|
1928
170
|
1933
130
|
1938
152
|
1914
100
|
1919
178
|
1924
170
|
1929
170
|
1934
136
|
1939
151
|
1915
102
|
1920
202
|
1925
172
|
1930
163
|
1935
143
|
|
1916
116
|
1921
170
|
1926
171
|
1931
150
|
1936
147
|
|
1917
141
|
1922
162
|
1927
169
|
1932
136
|
1937
155
|
|
41
|
0
|
0
|
-20
|
12
|
-1
|
Underneath
each column of five years is shown the increase or decrease in the
price level from the first year to the last in the bracket, though it
should be noted that even in the 1918 to 1922 bracket, and the 1923
to 1927 bracket, where the price level returned at the end to that of
the first year, there was variation in the intermediate years. From
the 1913 base year the peak of the increase in the price level was in
1920 when it stood at 202, indicating that the dollar had
approximately half the power of 1913. We are now approaching that
level again - and of course the inflation will continue to reduce it
to possible extinction.
The
ideal of money unit stability has never been and can never be,
attained by a political money unit. This is because it is constantly
disturbed - either by the bank loan process, or by political fiscal
policy. Both these influences are eliminated in the valun system;
and therefore business may at last hope for and expect a money unit
that has approximately the same power in one generation as another.
We say approximately, since it may be too much to expect perfection,
in view of possible political influences, even though the direct
influence upon money be removed.
THE
1939 DOLLAR
Concurrently
with the organization of the first Valun Exchange there will be
organized The Central Board of Valun Exchanges, which will be the
supreme authority for coordinating all Valun Exchanges. Upon it must
fall the task of determining and proclaiming which dollar the valun
shall be based on. We suggest the year 1939 because it was before the
war inflation had exerted its influence upon the dollar, and before
the price control law distorted the price index. In 1939 the price
level was such that many one cent items of merchandise were on the
market, a considerable number of which have since departed. The
dollar is growing so small that the lowest denominations of coins are
meeting with diminishing use. The unit should have such power that
all fractions of it serve a broad range of usefulness in exchange.
Assuming
then that the 1939 dollar is adopted as the basis of the valun, it
will be necessary to compute the difference in the price level
between that time and the time the valun is launched. There is no way
of making the computation accurate because all price indexes are now
unreliable, by reason of the price control law which makes it illegal
to price items above the OPA ceilings. The affect is to mislead the
price index bureau - because no dealer can afford to quote his black
market prices, with the result that the price indexes reflect only
"red market" prices, i.e., those prices which actually
involve a loss to the dealer but which conform to the law. However,
an approximation will do so long as some percentage is arbitrarily
stated for the differential between the current dollar and the valun.
For
instance, if, at the time the valun is adopted, it is estimated that
prices are twice as high as 1939, the valun would be rated one for
two of the dollar. If prices shall have risen 500% the valun will be
1 to 5. It is advisable to state some round figure approximation as
the par basis - though, after current prices are stated in the two
units, it will be simpler to state the price of the valun in dollars
and cents. The method of quoting prices of commodities in the two
units, and the price of valuns in terms of dollars, was outlined in
Study 6.
SETTING
THE RATIO
To
proclaim the ratio of the valun to the dollar is simple enough. To
make it operative is something quite different. The Central Board can
proclaim the ratio - but, to make it so, the members must back it up
by actual exchange transactions. This confronts us with the question
as to what gives meaning to a money unit. If we think the question
through we realize that nothing but practice accomplishes it. There
is a popular superstition that the authority of government
sponsorship, or some guarantee of redemption, or some reserve,
determines the power of a money unit. But we know that money secures
its meaning solely by the act of purchase - and thus the whole
meaning comes from exchange itself. Nothing prior to or subsequent to
or outside of exchange contributes anything. Figuratively, we may say
that all the members agree to leave it to the Central Board to state
the valun-dollar ratio; and we may even imagine all assembled in a
room and by show of hands unanimously agreeing to accept the ratio
announced. But that is not enough. Concurrence must be backed by
determination through actual exchanges.
The
question will be asked, "what is back of the valun?" As a
matter of fact, like any money unit, until something has been
exchanged for it, nothing is back of it. When it has exchanged for
something, that something is back of it. Money's material backing is
that which the seller surrenders in exchange for it; its moral
backing is the buyer's promise to back it with an equivalent value
when in turn he becomes the seller. Further than this, money has no
backing and more than this it does not need, but this is
indispensible. What then is needed to make the valun circulate is
acceptors and prospective acceptors. The initial acceptors must be
pledged to accept it for certain values which are determined by the
valun-dollar ratio that has been officially adopted. Once this
process begins, a mental attitude develops in the acceptors which
makes them indisposed to surrender the valun for less
than they gave. After the unit circulates a number of times the
mental attitude of traders jells into a fixed habit of thought; and
the unit has established itself firmly.
To
attain this firm base, it is necessary for the members of the
Exchange to be pledged to a definite price level for a period, of say
three months, during which they agree to neither lower nor raise
prices in terms of valuns. The purpose is to get as much backing for
the valun at a given level by as many traders as may be necessary to
establish a mental fixation. After such period of mutual pledge has
expired, the operation of the law of supply and demand should be
unimpeded. The consequence should be variation in prices of different
items, some higher and some lower, but the price level should remain
approximately stable.
The
preservation of the stability of the unit requires no positive
action. It is natural for it to remain stable. If unstability
manifests itself, it is indicative of the presence of some unnatural
element. The elements of destabilization are, as previously stated,
inherent in the political money system; they are not native to a
private money system. Competitive traders (each under the necessity
of keeping costs down to meet competition) and consumers (each trying
to get as much as possible for his money) tend to keep the money
supply in equilibrium with goods supply, and thus maintain a stable
price level. The possible factors tending to disturb price stability
in a private money system are discussed under valun Study No. 5.
After
the initial price control agreement among valun members has expired,
only natural influences will remain; and the dollar price of valuns
will reflect the stability of the valun, and the decline of the
dollar under its inflationary influence. These dollar-valun prices
will be quoted by the Valun Currency Counter Association as explained
in Study No. 6.
Merchant
members will follow these quotations in pricing their goods in
dollars. Thus if the valun is quoted at $3.25, an item priced at 1
valun would be priced at $3.25, for the trade that is not in the
valun system. As has been stated, all valun members will be obliged
to deal with non-members on a dollar basis and therefore must
maintain two sets of prices, one in valuns and the other in dollars.
The
problem of determining the valun unit and stabilizing it will be the
problem
of only the first Valun Exchange. Succeeding Exchanges will be
conditioned to its power by reason of the fact that members of new
Exchanges, as a condition precedent to opening a local Exchange, must
have previously traded with members of existing Exchanges, thus
having accepted the valun on the basis of preceding Exchanges.
In
the next Study we explain that any person or corporation anywhere
would be qualified to hold Class B membership in any existing Valun
Exchange. This Class B membership would entitle them to maintain an
account in an Exchange and buy and sell freely, but not to overdraw
the account - which is the process of creating money under the valun
system, a power which is reserved to Class A members.
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